Bases Of The Technical Analysis.

Technical analysis is the standard approach to the market surveillance, having for an object forecasting of exchange rate movement and assuming that the market has memory that is why on the future movement of a rate render a great influence observable laws of its last behavior.

The basic preconditions on which the technical analysis is based, it is accepted to formulate in the form of following three postulates:

1. The market considers all. In other words, the price is a consequence also exhaustive reflexion of all driving powers of the market.

2. Price range is subordinated to tendencies. The market life consists of the alternating periods of growth and fall in prices so that in each period there is a development of the dominating tendency, which operates until will begin market movement in the opposite direction.

3. History repeats itself. The key to understanding of the future is covered in past studying. That fact that certain configurations on schedules of the prices have property to appear was stable and repeatedly, and in the different markets and in different time scales, is a consequence of action of some stereotypes of the behavior peculiar to human mentality.

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The forecast of movement of the market, constructed by means of technical analysis, is the first constituent of strategy of the market participant behavior. On the basis of the made forecast is made the decision on opening of an item and on that, how many means to put in it. Forecasting of the prices says to the trader what to do (to purchase or sell), tactics helps to advance, when to do, and rules of management of capital prompt, what part of means to invest in the bargain.

Possession of all means fundamental and technical analysis gives the chance to the analyst to receive reliable forecasts of movement of the market, and tactical skill and discipline allow making effective decisions.

Indexes (prices) consider all. According to Dow’s theory, any factor capable anyhow to affect demand or the offer, will invariably find the reflexion in dynamics of an index (price). And, any, let it will be even earthquake, accident or any other factor. Certainly, these events are unpredictable but nevertheless, they instantly are considered by the market and reflected in price development.

In the market exist three types of the tendency. Definition of tendencies which Dow gives, looks as follows: at the ascending tendency each subsequent peak and each subsequent recession above the previous. In other words, at “the bull” (increasing) tendency should be contour of a curve with consistently increasing peaks and recessions. Accordingly, at the descending tendency each subsequent peak and recession will be lower, than previous. Such definition of the tendency is basic and serves as a starting point in trending. Dow allocated three categories of tendencies: primary, secondary and small. He gave the greatest significance to primary, or the basic tendency, which lasts more than a year, and sometimes and some years. Secondary, or the intermediate tendency, is correcting in relation to the basic tendency and lasts, usually, from three weeks to three months. Similar intermediate amendments constitute from 1/3 to 2/3 (very often half or 50 %) the distance passed by the prices during the previous tendency. Small, or short-term tendencies last no more than three weeks and represent short-term fluctuations within the limits of the intermediate tendency.

It is a must to gather as much info about Forex market as possible. Because this knowledge will help you not to lose much money on Forex trading or Forex investment.

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Bases Of The Technical Analysis.

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